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How Can South Korea, with Costly Investments, Survive Amidst the U.S.-China Confrontation?

How Can South Korea, with Costly Investments, Survive Amidst the U.S.-China Confrontation?

Jul 07, 2023

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South Korea, which emerged as one of the Four Asian Tigers, has now grown to be the 10th largest economy in the world after surviving the Asian financial crisis in 1997. How does South Korea continue to lead in global high-tech development amid the US-China rivalry? What is its strategic approach to market positioning?

What happened?

Since taking office in 2022, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has put forward an initiative to build  the country into a “global pivotal state” and has been advancing South Korean technology and industries on the global stage.(All the Way South

  • South Korea, Denmark, and Finland topped the 2022 UN E-government Ranking, showing their excellent performance in information and communication technology (ICT) infrastructure as well as their efforts in opening public data and fostering government innovation.(United Nations
    • Taking this as a niche point, South Korea aims to continue to consolidate digital infrastructure while providing public access to data databases, thereby accelerating innovation in artificial intelligence (AI) and big data.(World Economic Forum
  • The South Korean Government launched a project featuring six key technology industries, including semiconductors, rechargeable batteries, electric vehicles, robots, displays, and biotechnology, with semiconductors as the core.(Commercial Times
    • Under the new tax incentives, semiconductor companies get a tax credit of 15% on investments in manufacturing facilities up from 8%. Samsung plans to invest 300 trillion won (approximately $230 billion) by 2042 to build a semiconductor cluster in Seoul.


Economic and security strategy for semiconductors?

  • Promoting the localization of the semiconductor supply chain to avoid external impacts.
    • The South Korean Government announced the "K-Semiconductor Strategy," looking to put in $450 billion with government-provided funds and policy support, invest in Samsung Electronics, and SK Hynix, among others, and establish an industrial cluster integrating semiconductor production, materials, components, equipment, and design. The goal is to build the world's largest semiconductor manufacturing base by 2030.(TechNews
  • Shifting reliance on memory chips to developing AI semiconductors.
    • South Korea injected 800 billion won to groom AI semiconductors and enhance its semiconductor design capabilities aiming to overtake China by 2028 and catch up with the United States by 2030.(Yahoo! News
  • Participating in multilateral economic frameworks to stay competitive in industries.
    • The US-proposed Chip 4 alliance formed with the other three members -- Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan -- is set out to create a "democratic semiconductor supply chain" that runs from design to manufacturing to curb the development of China's chip industry.(Economist Intelligence
    • Challenging issues loom on the horizon within the alliance, including competitive concerns between leading rival Taiwanese and South Korean companies both researching 3nm semiconductor technology. In addition, Japan has sanctioned South Korea in the past, which drives South Korea to continuously focus on local production.


South Korea's Indo-Pacific layout?

South Korea aspires to exert significant influence in the Indo-Pacific region. The South Korean Government needs to carefully balance  its relationship with both the United States and with China amid the rivalry between the two countries.

  • South Korean businessmen withdraw from the Chinese market amid weakened South Korea-China relations.
    • Lotte Group, South Korea's largest retailer, closed its headquarters in China and turned to other Asian countries; Amorepacific Group, a cosmetics manufacturer, closed its stores in China.(Liberty Times Net
  • South Korea strengthens the US-South Korea alliance and reduces cooperation with China.
    • Despite China's economic influence, South Korea opts for the United States for the national territorial security guarantee it promises. South Korea's Indo-Pacific strategy will prioritize national defense and security while gradually moving outward to Southeast Asia and the United States.
    • South Korea used to have tighter relations with China, hoping that China would help in keeping North Korea in check. However, in recent years, the country has been more actively retooling its security relationship and mapping plans with the United States as reflected in its positive participation in QUAD and IPEF.


What will happen in the future?

  • Considering the investment and subsidies from the United States, South Korea's future supply chain and market orientation are likely to align with Europe and the United States. As a result, some semiconductor industries may relocate to the United States. This choice demonstrates South Korea's commitment to high-tech development in partnership with the United States.
  • China continues to be South Korea's largest trading partner,  and many South Korean semiconductor factories are located in China. Therefore, while South Korea may aim to reduce its reliance on China, it does not imply that it will align with the United States to counter China. It is important not to misinterpret South Korea's position. 

Why did South Korea, which was considered a "vassal state of China" in the past, agree to join the US-led Chip 4? What is the country's strategic planning to maintain its international status? The following in-depth Sunrise Medium's interview with experts has shed some light.

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Ruby Chen

Ruby Chen / Editor

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Jasmine Hsueh

Jasmine Hsueh / Editor

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What is the digital transformation strategy that South Korea is actively developing? 4 則對談comments 2023-07-06 08:13:46
蘇怡文

蘇怡文

中華經濟研究院 WTO 及 RTA 中心分析師

In the latter years of the Park Geun-hye government, having realized the importance of digital transformation, South Korea established a department similar to the Ministry of Science and Technology [Ministry of Science, ICT, and Future Planning], which worked in collaboration with the Ministry of Education, Ministry of Labor, and Ministry of Economy to cultivate digital environments, talents, and industries. Subsequently, President Moon Jae-in proposed the fourth industrial revolution strategy that focused on...

2023-07-06 08:09:39

我對於這則留言有疑慮

developing innovative growth as the then government’s core strategy for economic growth primarily with the Ministry of Science and Technology in charge.

South Korea's digital strategy covers five major areas: digital talent cultivation, digital economy expansion, inclusive digital society, e-Government, and innovative digital culture. The South Korean Government believes that for digitalization to be boosted, both the private sector and the government must jointly develop. Collaboration between the two is conducive to overall competitiveness.

2023-07-06 08:50:07

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劉德海

劉德海

國立政治大學國際事務學院 WTO 研究中心主任/外交系兼任教授

In July 2020, the Moon Jae-in government launched a new policy on digitalization, which allowed various industries to access an open digital platform that harbored a large amount of data collected for public use. China has been leading the world in the 5G innovations race, followed by South Korea. The 5G commercialization started in South Korea. When it comes to the communication infrastructure, China and South Korea are fully equipped. South Korea is the only country from the democratic camp that can stand up to China in this regard...

2023-07-06 08:12:35

我對於這則留言有疑慮

The accelerated operation and data download speed gave rise to South Korea's big data industry development strategy: DNA (Data, Network, AI), big data platform, and AI have emerged as the three main drivers of South Korea's economic growth, with the electronics industry and mobile phones leading the world. The strategy is also in connection with financial technology and E-Commerce, and it helps Vietnam, Arab states, and other countries to build smart cities. South Korea not only produces one thing, but also exports a complete set of interconnected products, including self-driving cars, electric vehicles, smart factories, subways, and smart hospitals.

2023-07-06 08:50:20

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What are South Korea's economic ambitions in the Indo-Pacific in the context of global political tussles? Is it toeing a pro-China and anti-US line? 6 則對談comments 2023-07-06 08:19:07
蘇怡文

蘇怡文

中華經濟研究院 WTO 及 RTA 中心分析師

South Koreans are keen on competition and pursuing winning in competition. There is a South Korean word that often appears in policy texts in various fields -- preemptive -- which means to take the lead. The South Korean people aspire to have a leading position in the world and in the region, which is their ambition. The foreign policy axis of the Yoon Suk Yeol government is to "strengthen and stabilize the alliance between the United States and South Korea while at the same time maintaining the cooperative relationship with China." It does not seek to part with China directly but to readjust the relationship with China and share interests that are beneficial to both sides.

2023-07-06 08:14:38

我對於這則留言有疑慮
劉德海

劉德海

國立政治大學國際事務學院 WTO 研究中心主任/外交系兼任教授

Torn between the United States and China, even though globalization is not dead, the structure of free trade has become polarized. The United States and China are confronting each other in the high-tech industry, where everyone must pick sides: Do you want the Chinese market or the security provided by and shared political value of the United States? As such, South Korea gave up on the Chinese market mainly because of the pressure from the United States. It has no choice. South Korea is under grave threat from North Korea. Once the US military withdraws, South Korea may disappear the next day. Security-wise, it is highly dependent on the United States.

2023-07-06 08:15:34

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陳蒿堯

陳蒿堯

中國文化大學韓國語文學系助理教授

The incumbent Yoon Suk Yeol government has responded more positively to the US "South Korean version of the Indo-Pacific Strategy," which notes that it will gradually expand the cooperation between the United States, Japan, India, and Australia in the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QUAD) and believes the peace and stability of the Taiwan Strait and the Korean Peninsula are of paramount importance to the overall security and prosperity of the Indo-Pacific region. On this basis, South Korea, on the one hand, plays an active role in response to what the United States believes South Korea should play on the Korean peninsula through security cooperation under the multilateral framework.

2023-07-06 08:54:03

我對於這則留言有疑慮

 On the other hand, it sees China as a key partner in maintaining peace in the Indo-Pacific region and avoids a head-on confrontation against it, hoping to have a relationship of mutual respect that is mutually beneficial to both.

On strengthening "economic security and resilience", South Korea also participated in IPEF and expressed its willingness to join as a member of Chip 4, which shows that it is actively playing a dual important role in regional security and the semiconductor supply chain.

2023-07-06 08:54:16

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趙文志

趙文志

國立中正大學戰略暨國際事務研究所教授

For South Korea, a pro-China and anti-US line will not be its diplomatic approach. Due to the continued threat from North Korea, from the perspective of security and politics, "pro-US and friend-China" will be a diplomatic route that the South Korean Government is more likely to take.

In the Indo-Pacific economy, "exerting significant influence" will be the goal pursued by the South Korean Government. Because the Chinese market is important to the South Korean economy, the two sides will still maintain close economic and trade cooperation. However...

2023-07-06 08:18:32

我對於這則留言有疑慮

South Korea is faced with a dilemma due to the external US-China conflict factor, especially in the semiconductor high-tech industry. The country has no choice but to cooperate with the US side as the US policy calls for. "How to strike a balance between its relationship with China and that with the United States" is an important challenge for South Korea to tackle in the next few years.

2023-07-06 08:51:07

我對於這則留言有疑慮

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How will South Korea position itself in the supply chain in the Asia-Pacific region? 3 則對談comments 2023-07-06 08:21:27
林賢參

林賢參

國立臺灣師範大學東亞學系教授

Because China is still South Korea's largest trading partner and many of South Korea's semiconductor factories are also located in China. Thus, South Korea doesn't want to over-stimulate China. However, in recent years China has been using its market access as a weapon to pressure on its trading partner countries and force diplomatic compromises. South Korea worries the future supply chain of semiconductor manufacturing is threatened. Therefore, South Korea looks forward to participating in IPEF, Chip 4 to reduce the risk caused by China.

2023-07-06 08:20:07

我對於這則留言有疑慮

In addition, due to the U.S. restrictions on Chinese technology and tariff issues, South Korea has been forced to move some of its production bases out of China to Southeast Asia and India. Simultaneously, South Korea tights its alliance with the U.S., which will try to reduce its dependence on the Chinese market.

2023-07-06 08:51:33

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劉德海

劉德海

國立政治大學國際事務學院 WTO 研究中心主任/外交系兼任教授

The future trend of South Korea's supply chain and the market will go to Europe and the U.S. It is because the U.S. provides huge investment and subsidies, for example, LG energy solution for electric vehicles, and Japan's Honda cooperation, Samsung's SDI and GM cooperation, and SK On and Ford's production of batteries. It is evident that a portion of the semiconductor industry is relocating to the U.S., while electric car battery production is concentrating in both the U.S. and Europe. In light of these developments, South Korea has chosen to focus on high-tech development in collaboration with the United States.

2023-07-06 08:55:21

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